WP6: Policies for change

– assessing the potential for policy to change the path dependency of the beef/dairy sector

In this WP, the role of policy/legislation in creating a lock-in in the beef/dairy sector will be discussed in detail by analysing the link between policy (as an actant) and the lock-in situations identified in WPs (1-4). In addition, it will also consider the wider outcomes as explored in the scenario analysis in WP5. Based on the analysis, we will suggest new policies to “unlock” this particular value chain, and move in a less GHG-intensive direction. In the first part of the WP we
will examine a broad range of existing policy documents as well as production and development plans from the farmer organisations and the industry itself. The position of the retail chains, and consumers is also important when looking at the whole value chain. In the second part we will conduct a number of interviews with key stakeholders based around (a) the model results of WP4 and (b) the scenario analysis of WP5. We will use the expert knowledge and opinions obtained to devise effective ways of addressing any lock-ins to reducing carbon emissions. NILF will contribute to this WP with model-based scenario analysis using the economic sector model Jordmod (Mittenzwei and Gaasland 2008). The model will analyse effects of changes in agricultural policies suggested here on the performance of the agricultural sector including production, land use, animal husbandry, and employment at the national and regional level.

Jostein Brobakk

Jostein Brobakk

WP Leader, CRR